CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629b1ada1a22c87efc37db87f03963e26a9f3940ea5acff8007248b4636cd6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 5Actorsof Nemiga, 5Actors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,025 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 53c | 3,376$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.45 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 5Actors | 51c | 1,897$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 5Actors | 42c | 421.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed 5Actors | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga | 9c | 252.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Nemiga | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked 5Actors | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed 5Actors | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 5Actors | 65c | 96.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked 5Actors | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed 5Actors | 46c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 5Actors | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed 5Actors | 51c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…202abacked Nemiga | 64c | 19.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed 5Actors | 72c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.