CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136610cdf9d32d94f314b97a05f16d4012615713b81fa0dfeb597489b44228fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, EYEBALLERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c5a…ff9fbacked Alliance | 60c | 9,206$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.91 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 4,635$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.26 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Alliance | 56c | 2,750$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 2,000$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.46 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed EYEBALLERS | 23c | 1,981$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 1,138$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed EYEBALLERS | 22c | 1,053$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 960$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 893$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.92 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 888.37$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 655.4$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed EYEBALLERS | 42c | 584.83$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db4bbacked Alliance | 75c | 563.55$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Alliance | 62c | 562.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alliance | 57c | 506.13$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Alliance | 57c | 477.21$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed EYEBALLERS | 44c | 442.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed EYEBALLERS | 20c | 419.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 77c | 410.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 80c | 352.2$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked EYEBALLERS | 43c | 322.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed EYEBALLERS | 29c | 263$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Alliance | 77c | 256.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked EYEBALLERS | 28c | 249$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 237.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked EYEBALLERS | 28c | 219$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked EYEBALLERS | 30c | 217$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked EYEBALLERS | 22c | 178.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed EYEBALLERS | 22c | 156.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Alliance | 65c | 153.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked EYEBALLERS | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Alliance | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed EYEBALLERS | 22c | 109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Alliance | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Alliance | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed EYEBALLERS | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed EYEBALLERS | 39c | 87.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alliance | 80c | 85.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked EYEBALLERS | 23c | 78.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Alliance | 64c | 77.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Alliance | 69c | 75.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked EYEBALLERS | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Alliance | 77c | 66.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alliance | 65c | 64.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked EYEBALLERS | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Alliance | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…9edabacked Alliance | 77c | 51.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdd…73b5backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…e558backed Alliance | 71c | 43.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed EYEBALLERS | 39c | 37.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked EYEBALLERS | 43c | 32.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…d007backed EYEBALLERS | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…33e9backed Alliance | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Alliance | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed Alliance | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Alliance | 77c | 16.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alliance | 74c | 16.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.