TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Pcific Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed Eternal Fire57c8,132$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.4230147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Eternal Fire64c5,542$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.6578162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Pcific Esports44c5,006$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.7165559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire39c4,781$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,922.2168949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Pcific Esports54c3,959$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.1194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Pcific Esports48c2,402$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.545263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Pcific Esports2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45260%0 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Pcific Esports2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Pcific Esports2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Pcific Esports2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Pcific Esports2c2,375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire37c2,287$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.81,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Eternal Fire54c2,154$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.4762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Eternal Fire54c1,982$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.546063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Pcific Esports2c1,950$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire56c1,950$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.0870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Eternal Fire73c1,885$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.1133153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Pcific Esports46c1,678$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Pcific Esports31c1,517$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Pcific Esports49c1,435$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.3829151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Pcific Esports33c1,421$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5210455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire43c1,324$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.331,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Pcific Esports45c1,258$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.8926650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Pcific Esports2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Eternal Fire51c1,141$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.975228.8%15 W · 37 L-8.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b3c…0518backed Eternal Fire41c1,082$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pcific Esports43c1,061$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Pcific Esports2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pcific Esports33c923.42$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.158038.8%31 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Pcific Esports47c879.83$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7631153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Pcific Esports2c873.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Pcific Esports2c820$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.890%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Pcific Esports48c760.79$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.182360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Pcific Esports42c758.19$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.6516442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed Pcific Esports61c750$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.522047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d6…90dfbacked Eternal Fire68c722.25$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.891450%7 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Pcific Esports42c685.01$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6112656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Eternal Fire69c611.6$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.69052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Eternal Fire71c586.21$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17054751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Eternal Fire45c583.17$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Pcific Esports32c534$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.884630.4%14 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x33e9…895dbacked Pcific Esports50c523.77$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Eternal Fire58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Pcific Esports41c468.65$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Pcific Esports48c451.35$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.76533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Pcific Esports43c438.48$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9517448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Pcific Esports47c430.15$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.056045%27 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Eternal Fire67c399.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13414661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked Eternal Fire45c363.93$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.32763%17 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pcific Esports24c334.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Pcific Esports45c316.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.999133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Pcific Esports50c299.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509041.1%37 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb003…d62dbacked Eternal Fire54c298.43$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.342035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Eternal Fire53c276.27$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8515450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Eternal Fire54c252.82$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.336648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Eternal Fire67c238.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6524946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire51c237.46$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.011,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Pcific Esports33c228.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4916046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Pcific Esports45c212.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1126730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Pcific Esports61c208.48$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.352065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Eternal Fire47c201.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.443043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Pcific Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Pcific Esports40c197.93$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3712243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Pcific Esports36c192.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7913336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Pcific Esports45c190.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.581,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Eternal Fire57c183.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4626436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Pcific Esports40c170$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.819438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Eternal Fire37c161.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.845253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Pcific Esports39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.066939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Pcific Esports35c152.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.338746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa983…16cbbacked Pcific Esports29c148.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.182114.3%3 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-80.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Pcific Esports49c148.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0363652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Pcific Esports32c148$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Pcific Esports43c148$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0812633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Eternal Fire63c146.72$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8142051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pcific Esports32c143.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0423548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…6a5ebacked Eternal Fire74c133.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.451250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Pcific Esports31c133.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3220840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Eternal Fire71c128.68$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2911559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Pcific Esports45c126.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0911841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7a…87c7backed Pcific Esports58c119.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Eternal Fire71c110.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.115752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Eternal Fire37c109.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0610333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4815…3e52backed Pcific Esports48c109.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Eternal Fire68c103.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2532047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Eternal Fire57c97.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9927847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ef…813bbacked Eternal Fire46c89.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.493426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Pcific Esports67c88.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6222455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire51c88.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.891,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Pcific Esports31c86.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.786852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Pcific Esports40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3815839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Pcific Esports55c84.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.614766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Pcific Esports40c81.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7914436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…548fbacked Eternal Fire49c78.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Pcific Esports38c77.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6320248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Pcific Esports41c69.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Pcific Esports45c68.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8499846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eternal Fire55c64.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Eternal Fire59c61.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.139166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Pcific Esports51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.