Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f82e0bcab22f72375d0fd4fe666301a5bd12f495bf00b8f9cf105b89394da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pcific Esportsof Eternal Fire, Pcific Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Pcific Esports | 56c | 878.89$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 512.71$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pcific Esports | 57c | 489.66$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pcific Esports | 57c | 413.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.71 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Pcific Esports | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 220.34$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pcific Esports | 63c | 216.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Eternal Fire | 37c | 213.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 208.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pcific Esports | 49c | 176.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Pcific Esports | 52c | 159.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 154.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pcific Esports | 56c | 151.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pcific Esports | 55c | 100.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…46babacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Pcific Esports | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 83.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 78.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 76.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pcific Esports | 55c | 76.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 55.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…c7c1backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 46.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked Eternal Fire | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…88a5backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 28.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…a77bbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 25.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…63d5backed Eternal Fire | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Pcific Esports | 71c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Pcific Esports | 63c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 WinnerPcific Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.