Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6503233cb6fc2a5e25e700a52962bc9ffad691818548b69743c7c55210ed7d81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof WLGaming Esports, Partizan Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,026 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed WLGaming Esports | 29c | 3,535$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.25 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed WLGaming Esports | 38c | 781.77$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked WLGaming Esports | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WLGaming Esports | 28c | 720.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Partizan Sangal | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed WLGaming Esports | 19c | 539.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked WLGaming Esports | 15c | 487.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Partizan Sangal | 59c | 399.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed WLGaming Esports | 40c | 387.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WLGaming Esports | 15c | 380$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Partizan Sangal | 72c | 308.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed WLGaming Esports | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WLGaming Esports | 30c | 289.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WLGaming Esports | 39c | 256.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed WLGaming Esports | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked WLGaming Esports | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 134 | 33.6%45 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed WLGaming Esports | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed WLGaming Esports | 39c | 160.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Partizan Sangal | 64c | 156.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Partizan Sangal | 64c | 155.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Partizan Sangal | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WLGaming Esports | 26c | 120.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Partizan Sangal | 63c | 119.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Partizan Sangal | 59c | 113.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Partizan Sangal | 58c | 103.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Partizan Sangal | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Partizan Sangal | 61c | 94.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked WLGaming Esports | 30c | 66.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 692 | 47%325 W · 367 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed WLGaming Esports | 33c | 60.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Partizan Sangal | 58c | 59.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed WLGaming Esports | 19c | 58.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed WLGaming Esports | 35c | 57.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Partizan Sangal | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed WLGaming Esports | 21c | 48.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed WLGaming Esports | 41c | 46.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Partizan Sangal | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed WLGaming Esports | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Partizan Sangal | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)Partizan Sangal won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group GPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.