Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63752fe6cdddf2606474a8a286b6a1bb0814fecb05eee1ae144af97ea671e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof WLGaming Esports, Partizan Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,562 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 2,194$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed WLGaming Esports | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed WLGaming Esports | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed WLGaming Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked WLGaming Esports | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WLGaming Esports | 18c | 284.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed WLGaming Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked WLGaming Esports | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 167.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WLGaming Esports | 20c | 165.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked WLGaming Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed WLGaming Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Partizan Sangal | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5)Partizan Sangal won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group GPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.