Tennis · resolved market
Joel Schwaerzler vs. Zsombor Piros: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92efd4ac357a3a5298690f41aa2726e784d2b0584bfaa97b3865a2071285a834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 10,101$5,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,151.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 8,396$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under 2.5 | 51c | 4,907$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.75 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 4,905$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.8 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over 2.5 | 30c | 4,095$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.84 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 3,981$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over 2.5 | 49c | 3,708$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.08 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…5143backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 2,251$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 2,167$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 2,022$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6c…8f4ebacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 2,013$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over 2.5 | 33c | 2,012$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.46 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked Over 2.5 | 50c | 1,915$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 151.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under 2.5 | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Joel Schwaerzler vs. Zsombor Piros: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor PirosZsombor Piros won
- Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Schwaerzler vs PirosPiros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.