Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Schwaerzler vs Piros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85727e80a77d8f33521c867c6fc1ea86a484d7c3104ad9a2fa3981c8561ebff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pirosof Schwaerzler, Piros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Schwaerzler | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Schwaerzler | 51c | 3,193$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.37 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Schwaerzler | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…3415backed Piros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Piros | 50c | 270$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Schwaerzler | 51c | 227.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…60a9backed Schwaerzler | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Schwaerzler vs Pirosthis page
- Joel Schwaerzler vs. Zsombor Piros: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Lugano: Joel Schwaerzler vs Zsombor PirosZsombor Piros won
- Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Schwaerzler vs. Piros: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.