TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Nets47c45,675$21,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,521.336841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers54c26,235$14,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,157.172,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Clippers53c25,022$13,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,782.736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers54c21,324$11,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,810.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Nets55c16,392$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers54c8,162$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.721,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd39…234fbacked Clippers48c8,055$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e6…5266backed Nets52c8,055$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,188.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets48c3,998$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers45c3,662$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.222,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Clippers47c3,662$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.3935747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Clippers48c3,454$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.4171547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets47c3,159$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.731,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets48c2,792$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Clippers47c2,174$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.213239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Nets48c2,087$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers46c2,081$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers49c1,694$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Clippers46c1,552$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.1714346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets28c1,407$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Nets47c1,396$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers54c1,306$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets52c1,155$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.62,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Nets53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers51c932$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.882,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a0…7435backed Clippers48c877$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…d0bebacked Clippers48c866$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…6a31backed Clippers48c855$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nets48c852.84$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.51,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Clippers54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.749853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Nets47c723.4$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34018241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Clippers45c557.73$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.7524138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Nets55c546$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Clippers54c481.48$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4847856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nets47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Clippers46c424$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers46c422$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d41…ca21backed Nets52c367$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x396c…180cbacked Nets52c364$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf5…035dbacked Nets52c345$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Nets47c294.23$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.295853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9d…1ae7backed Nets52c277$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ac…8f97backed Nets52c277$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbd…57dcbacked Nets52c255$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3284…584ebacked Nets52c255$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1a…cbfebacked Nets52c247$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Clippers51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.118852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets36c243.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nets53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.21,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Clippers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3920754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Clippers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7725056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80a…ed6ebacked Nets52c211$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a17…5d26backed Nets47c210.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995149%25 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Nets5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets51c181.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Clippers53c179.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets48c176$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nets47c173.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.592,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Clippers49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.582440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Clippers53c142$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7427144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers46c140$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets47c119$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Clippers54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.117643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Nets53c107.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Clippers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b5…b26dbacked Clippers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Nets46c90.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Nets50c81.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2168940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clippers45c77.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.892,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Nets47c74.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3533442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Nets55c73.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers44c66.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets47c58.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.538252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Clippers52c49.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5622655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets47c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Nets47c47.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4111849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Nets47c44.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.844548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c7…943fbacked Nets47c42.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf91f…5aa5backed Clippers49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked Nets47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84367.4%29 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Clippers54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0437852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Clippers50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Clippers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2536751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Clippers52c29.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3610842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Clippers51c27.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5831155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Clippers51c27.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4535049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Clippers48c25.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2817750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…ebf0backed Clippers47c23.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x862d…2632backed Clippers46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.745145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers63c18.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.