NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05a7a5d1b5da45ccce4b96eca6d218df69e2cdcd660a2d05991512b58f9d9bfb

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 26, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,512 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	51c	12,740$6,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,227.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Under	48c	8,936$4,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,297.51	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b29…865ebacked Over	66c	5,986$3,958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,027.92	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	38c	3,871$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453.15	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	50c	3,130$1,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	49c	2,769$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.84	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Over	52c	2,582$1,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.01	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	2,200$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.95	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	50c	1,716$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	41c	1,187$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.82	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	50c	1,099$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.33	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	49c	1,051$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.19	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	55c	812.27$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.94	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under	2c	640.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	298	10.4%31 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.08per pick	3cpaid	+230.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under	19c	552$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.88	353	26.6%94 W · 259 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+31%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	500.42$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.24	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Over	52c	413.46$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.46	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e0…0222backed Over	64c	412$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.2	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over	51c	399.99$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over	52c	384.84$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.84	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	53c	377.36$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.36	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	43c	372.73$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.27	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	43c	362.37$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.09	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over	51c	291.48$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.48	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under	36c	238.89$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	634	27.3%173 W · 461 L	-19.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	209$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	133	54.1%72 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over	52c	183.99$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.99	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under	41c	140$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.4	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Over	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba3…3d9bbacked Over	53c	132.08$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x974e…c090backed Over	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+4.6wins	+0.24per pick	55cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	43c	100.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24cb…1f0cbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…afbbbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7011backed Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	52c	76.19$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.72	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17d4…d0eabacked Under	62c	71.34$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ea…6d0fbacked Under	65c	67.69$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Over	51c	65$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.75	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968b…e4c5backed Over	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Over	52c	56$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.88	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Over	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3b…5c15backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…af31backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a35…2c0bbacked Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	223	47.1%105 W · 118 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…e1d0backed Under	37c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea20…18fabacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	58c	39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.65	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fc…2fdebacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c33…c2f6backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Under	41c	35.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+10.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb6…3642backed Over	51c	33.33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…2bd8backed Over	52c	32.46$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.47	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.21per pick	65cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under	47c	31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc638…eb19backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd535…978abacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f30…9977backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e7…b890backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8260…3a6abacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f4c…25bbbacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…60a4backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.29per pick	49cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f7e…719fbacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over	51c	27.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.71	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ec…f767backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5this page
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Nets vs. ClippersClippers won
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5Over won
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5Over won
Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event