NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf47c2e9ab2570c5babf8808a4a9e9378586bff6ac97ee985f66748a7d0f99b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nets | 44c | 13,974$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.75 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 51c | 12,843$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Clippers | 51c | 10,206$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.51 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Clippers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Clippers | 52c | 4,362$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.3 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 56c | 2,797$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 53c | 2,645$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 57c | 1,879$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Nets | 43c | 1,459$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 50c | 1,021$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Clippers | 57c | 1,006$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.71 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 16c | 972.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 54c | 784.19$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 46c | 612.77$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nets | 50c | 601.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 48c | 457.94$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Clippers | 57c | 352.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets | 48c | 333.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 55c | 295.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nets | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Nets | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…793fbacked Clippers | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 45c | 158$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 48c | 157.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…ab6fbacked Clippers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Nets | 44c | 100.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Clippers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers | 55c | 84.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nets | 46c | 79.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Clippers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clippers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nets | 51c | 67.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nets | 45c | 65.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Clippers | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Clippers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Clippers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Nets | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nets | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…5975backed Clippers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…af31backed Clippers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Clippers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Nets | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Clippers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Nets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Nets | 44c | 40.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Clippers | 50c | 40.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Nets | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Nets | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Clippers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d2…a162backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Clippers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Clippers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Nets | 45c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -8.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…0308backed Clippers | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…1f16backed Clippers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…50e5backed Clippers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…e0a7backed Clippers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…4858backed Clippers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…d70ebacked Clippers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d8e6backed Clippers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Clippers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Nets | 50c | 24.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Clippers | 56c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…2e92backed Clippers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…ef48backed Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)this page
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.