TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over49c6,767$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.1413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over48c6,423$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.2146145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,995$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Over49c4,359$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.943148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over38c3,719$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.263,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c3,476$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c2,979$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under53c2,978$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.1435747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c2,706$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.322,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under52c2,692$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under57c2,541$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.941,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c2,476$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.566,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under52c2,300$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.9765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under54c1,600$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.8862948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c1,528$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c1,522$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.431,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c1,521$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b29…865ebacked Over57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over49c1,431$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.723,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Under74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c1,138$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.761,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c761.32$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.072,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under51c754.61$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8540350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c3…ee48backed Under52c754$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee8…64afbacked Over49c754$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c539.43$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c518.5$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over48c458.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c456.81$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over48c446.83$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked Over48c416.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.758552.9%45 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e0…0222backed Over68c412$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.771080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c371.4$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.412,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Under68c341.5$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2214454.9%79 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Over50c314.84$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.554250%21 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under25c303.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9835326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Over51c252.15$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5520454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.118852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over48c208.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1615649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c206$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.123,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10424946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10225846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3295…07afbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under51c195.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Under53c172.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.317236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e97…7680backed Over50c171.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.564163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.277040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under52c149.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9937750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over28c144.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under24c128.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1145542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over47c102.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.529352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over50c100.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4616347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…69e3backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under52c94.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9210842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Under65c92.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.39451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over48c82.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7610644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under53c76.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4631155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over48c73.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9950841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over48c68.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.415649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5649852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.028958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c50.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under52c48.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9917949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9edf…0f44backed Over49c42.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.443450%17 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6711848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over51c41.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.165959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ec…9667backed Under53c40.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Over49c38.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7711241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3811443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0524955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…e1d0backed Under43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over48c30.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9916036.3%58 W · 102 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under53c28.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8816343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under51c27.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8427943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Over53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.533369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under51c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4940960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…f3c1backed Under52c24.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under51c23.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57eb…3a67backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106346%29 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.