NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea69e070bb325be36045f619552609495c2645c73633c63fc4a9b2fa39755e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $325,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Nets | 51c | 206,627$105,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,593.73 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 48c | 73,037$35,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,863.73 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Clippers | 50c | 55,054$27,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,730 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 51c | 39,999$20,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.31 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 48c | 35,920$17,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,579.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Clippers | 50c | 32,265$16,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,152.82 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nets | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 48c | 16,784$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nets | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Clippers | 48c | 14,893$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.24 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Clippers | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.9 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 47c | 7,375$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.4 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 49c | 6,376$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.76 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Clippers | 49c | 6,225$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.75 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers | 48c | 5,800$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Clippers | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Clippers | 49c | 4,800$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Clippers | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 49c | 4,236$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Clippers | 49c | 4,203$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.83 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Clippers | 50c | 3,710$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Clippers | 49c | 3,300$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Nets | 58c | 2,875$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Clippers | 50c | 2,805$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 58c | 2,593$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nets | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers | 50c | 925.28$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.64 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Clippers | 43c | 899.96$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.98 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers | 49c | 827.85$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Clippers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…7e16backed Clippers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Clippers | 49c | 480$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 3c | 433.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Nets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Clippers | 49c | 321.37$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Clippers | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Nets | 51c | 201.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48b…1334backed Nets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Clippers | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Clippers | 48c | 179.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Clippers | 48c | 174.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Clippers | 50c | 149.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Clippers | 48c | 113.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nets | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Nets | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Clippers | 50c | 61.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…3b3cbacked Nets | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Clippers | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers | 46c | 59.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Clippers | 48c | 51.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Clippers | 48c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…4fd2backed Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Clippers | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Clippers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Clippers | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Clippers | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Clippers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Nets | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Clippers | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Clippers | 48c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Clippers | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Clippers | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Clippers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Nets | 53c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -7.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Clippers | 48c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Clippers | 49c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Clippers | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)this page
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nets vs. ClippersClippers won
- Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.