Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open: Kaja Juvan vs Claire Liu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59eac528c95367be20eb8c5de539a1c96066b04bb76b505ed31b94942773532f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juvanof Juvan, Liu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Liu | 48c | 8,191$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.43 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Juvan | 52c | 5,391$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.57 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liu | 15c | 5,319$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.79 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Liu | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Juvan | 68c | 4,364$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Juvan | 54c | 3,510$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.14 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Liu | 19c | 2,517$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.65 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Liu | 46c | 1,860$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.56 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Juvan | 52c | 1,685$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.05 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Liu | 17c | 1,389$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Juvan | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Liu | 39c | 1,112$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.75 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Juvan | 70c | 1,091$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Liu | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Juvan | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Liu | 36c | 907.64$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Juvan | 68c | 900.32$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Liu | 6c | 887.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Juvan | 73c | 825$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Liu | 27c | 610$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Juvan | 53c | 609.48$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Liu | 45c | 600.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Liu | 45c | 544$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Juvan | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juvan | 70c | 486.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Juvan | 71c | 372.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Juvan | 63c | 370$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Juvan | 71c | 354$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…0f2bbacked Liu | 13c | 324.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Juvan | 53c | 318.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Liu | 14c | 311.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liu | 29c | 307.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Liu | 7c | 299.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Liu | 14c | 283.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Juvan | 70c | 263.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Juvan | 69c | 260.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Juvan | 54c | 224$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Liu | 46c | 222.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Juvan | 57c | 212.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Juvan | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juvan | 68c | 191.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Liu | 47c | 188$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Juvan | 79c | 186$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Juvan | 55c | 182.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Liu | 47c | 180.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Liu | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Liu | 48c | 136.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Liu | 44c | 118$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juvan | 73c | 106.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…1d6ebacked Liu | 47c | 105.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Liu | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Liu | 49c | 101.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Juvan | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Juvan | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Liu | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Liu | 23c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Liu | 44c | 74.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Juvan | 71c | 70.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Liu | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6351…51ffbacked Juvan | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Liu | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Juvan | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juvan | 68c | 54.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Juvan | 77c | 51.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Juvan | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Liu | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Juvan | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liu | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Liu | 32c | 34.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Liu | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Juvan | 77c | 33.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Juvan | 72c | 32.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Juvan | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Juvan | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Liu | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Juvan | 74c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Juvan | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juvan | 71c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Juvan | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.