Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94809dd16752685b2fa162b065eb6f7feed4a8307a2298096fbcb9f3340d4c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Fairfield Stags, Quinnipiac Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Fairfield Stags | 29c | 10,000$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,143.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 8,793$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.99 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 71c | 7,497$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 6,522$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.35 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 52c | 4,408$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.34 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 54c | 3,809$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 67c | 3,580$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 3,457$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.88 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 2,528$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 2,416$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.99 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 52c | 2,188$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.49 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairfield Stags | 29c | 2,127$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 74c | 1,966$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.25 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 1,708$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.2 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fairfield Stags | 27c | 1,170$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.62 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 1,107$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 56c | 981.91$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.43 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Fairfield Stags | 34c | 722.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 614.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 72c | 605.4$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags | 30c | 363.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…88febacked Fairfield Stags | 30c | 334.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 55c | 325.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 68c | 315$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 47c | 311.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fairfield Stags | 27c | 299.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 74c | 281.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 32c | 252.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Fairfield Stags | 28c | 233$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fairfield Stags | 32c | 199.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.97 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Fairfield Stags | 67c | 176.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Fairfield Stags | 32c | 174.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 44c | 146.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fairfield Stags | 32c | 142.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 47c | 141.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 119.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fairfield Stags | 64c | 109$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 71c | 108.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 54c | 101.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fairfield Stags | 41c | 96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 68c | 87.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fairfield Stags | 54c | 87.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fairfield Stags | 41c | 85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Fairfield Stags | 34c | 81.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…7a8ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 49c | 76.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 66c | 73.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairfield Stags | 57c | 68.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 57.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 72c | 57.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…471abacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 40c | 50.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fairfield Stags | 30c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 72c | 45.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 44c | 40.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Fairfield Stags | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 73c | 39.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 73c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Fairfield Stags | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…b341backed Fairfield Stags | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 50c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Fairfield Stags | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats | 70c | 25.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fairfield Stags | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 52c | 24.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 68c | 22.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Quinnipiac Bobcats | 58c | 20.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsthis page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-6.5)Fairfield Stags won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.