Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5d420cf1e031cb428e4446de86658ae5b3bd09eb80402dd75c7dcf1d8258b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 19,428$12,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,709.45 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 36c | 5,519$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.67 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 4,721$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.25 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 3,400$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 2,724$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.08 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 43c | 1,608$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.12 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 1,408$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.93 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 46c | 1,289$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.84 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,162$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 43c | 1,125$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 78c | 1,123$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,093$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.54 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 32c | 1,090$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 1,067$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.21 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 1,008$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.87 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 868.53$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.68 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…f3f6backed Yes | 34c | 729.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 37c | 721.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…4679backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 631.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.35 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 35c | 566.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.19 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 53c | 552$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 23c | 542.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 444$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 52c | 431$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 55c | 428$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 68c | 411.15$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 346.31$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 330.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 253.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 32c | 246.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 64c | 242.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 32c | 192.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 75c | 192$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d3…c5debacked Yes | 38c | 160.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 64c | 157.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 69c | 155$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 64c | 135$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 55c | 123.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 64c | 119.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Yes | 64c | 116.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 64c | 115$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 33c | 112.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 64c | 112$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 110.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 51c | 109.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 52c | 106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 40c | 93.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 90.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Yes | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…0402backed Yes | 79c | 82.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Yes | 35c | 79.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 34c | 72.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 38cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 36c | 70.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 38c | 58.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 33c | 57.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…2229backed No | 25c | 55.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 48c | 54.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 53.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Yes | 30c | 52.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 66c | 51.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 51.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.