TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes12c13,910$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.6646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes0c7,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes0c4,490$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4730536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No62c3,589$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c2,554$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.7514955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes7c1,857$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes4c1,807$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.449431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes39c1,570$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.624032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No65c1,407$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.218139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes34c1,300$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.739336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No72c1,200$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c1,199$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2730055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes37c654$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24512055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c604.25$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed Yes39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+85.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c585$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.63773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c569.91$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No70c514.29$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes8c502.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9d…c3eebacked Yes40c496$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.42040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c461.52$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.46471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes27c412.91$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No61c328$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.924238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c321$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9810757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes34c282.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No79c262.97$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.333966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d3…c5debacked Yes36c254.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes20c238.56$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2710857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes39c230.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.353455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes39c214.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.676453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c209.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.646969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No61c199.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes7c187.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes35c184$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.475651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes28c176.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.295933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes33c170$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No62c164.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.759065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes36c152.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.273237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes19c143.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5414843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes35c135$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.924151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No63c115$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.555156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes31c114.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.144650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Yes34c113.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+97.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c97.35$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.713551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes35c96.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c93.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.596460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes32c92.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.457631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes37c90.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3119345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes28c89.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7133444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c62.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes34c61.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.921741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Yes23c60.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.841040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No63c59.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes23c52.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.970%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c46.93$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7628659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes36c43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes39c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b82…3541backed Yes33c32.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Yes34c30.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad56…a8d4backed Yes40c26.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba5…f080backed No76c25.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.252045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacbc…18e8backed No67c18.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed No65c16.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.