Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c3606ef006842110b5ca3df20c2a1d734264a07bd6de18d5f18af07a917005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 4,498$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 3,758$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 73c | 2,775$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.23 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 23c | 2,277$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.97 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 77c | 2,028$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.07 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 1,832$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.95 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 14c | 1,427$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.39 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 1,320$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 11c | 1,249$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 732.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 702.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 8c | 692.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 679$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 633.61$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 534.45$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 34c | 296.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…5e25backed Yes | 4c | 288.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 44c | 277.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Yes | 6c | 273.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 70c | 251$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 34c | 212.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 212.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 203$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 199.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 29c | 197.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 8c | 196.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 24c | 194.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed No | 14c | 178.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +9.9wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 33c | 177.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Yes | 8c | 169.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 79c | 125.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 14c | 119$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 93.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 69.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 27c | 65.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 58c | 63.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 31c | 62.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…497dbacked Yes | 29c | 57.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 27c | 55.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 29c | 55.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 52.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…420abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 45.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 47c | 43.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3305…95d4backed Yes | 52c | 42.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 53c | 39.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 67c | 38.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 30c | 36.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 21.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 72c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 15.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 78c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.