Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d953cfa19f3fc7caa71a158bbb6a13befb30934d38ec02cebcb2d65b70534a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,912$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,312$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.5 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 30c | 848$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.6 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 755.14$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.02 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 665.19$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.77 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 56c | 638.68$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 621.52$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 599.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 450$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 23c | 444.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 59c | 421.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed No | 6c | 292.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 7c | 225$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 223.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 172.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 65c | 171.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 165.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Yes | 61c | 164.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 13c | 125.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 29c | 122$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked No | 72c | 84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 79.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…e3b8backed Yes | 48c | 59.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 48.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked No | 80c | 39.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 79c | 23.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 71c | 22.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.