TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94d8…8835backed Yes40c3,783$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.995752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c3,478$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.566,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9754358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No60c2,480$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9923151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c2,441$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.312,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8202733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed Yes69c1,300$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes41c1,199$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.523740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c1,128$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.521,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes40c1,091$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.973132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes4c1,065$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6805044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c747.16$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes6c654.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7346943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes12c604.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.562,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No59c583.77$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c541.53$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.131,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No37c510.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9717327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c457.68$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.21,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No56c440$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8313939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes41c350$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c321.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.741,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c318.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5177336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20715735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes39c266$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed No32c260.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.99875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+94.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No31c241.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.115470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes41c220.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.334231%13 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes47c213.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Yes70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No47c183.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7474156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes41c167.07$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No37c148$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c142.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.422,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No60c135$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5465557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No59c134$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes35c108.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1513760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked No30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c93.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8242324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes42c88.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.337540%30 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c64.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No59c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2518459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No60c59.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2432158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x227d…8719backed Yes73c55.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402556%14 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes27c51.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257259.7%43 W · 29 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2036259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209554.7%52 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c46.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c43.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe128…0d11backed Yes74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No60c34.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.081,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No65c33.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.744468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3324349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No70c31.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2616150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes63c30.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.488933.7%30 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512241.8%51 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1217456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124035%14 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes65c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1216548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes65c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4d…f2fbbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes41c26.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0412236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.253743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes46c24.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4316251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes41c24.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0515949.1%78 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes50c22.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0620758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820556.6%116 W · 89 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.