TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof Toronto Blue Jays, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$774,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$793,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres53c232,326$123,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,042.1410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays46c223,566$102,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,840.4544851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays50c88,847$44,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,423.491,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres50c60,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres51c47,454$24,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,252.5998149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.9626054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays57c37,762$21,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,471.0661351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Toronto Blue Jays0c22,950$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres66c19,895$13,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,687.9595045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres62c18,341$11,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,937.054,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays41c17,312$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed San Diego Padres59c17,252$10,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,074.098950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres51c15,249$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,472.021,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres51c12,500$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays42c11,162$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,727.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Toronto Blue Jays50c9,993$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres59c9,003$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.531,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres52c8,217$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.948,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres66c6,146$4,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.348,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays50c5,241$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.52,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres50c5,149$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.324,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays27c4,862$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.668,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Toronto Blue Jays50c4,261$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.081,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres50c4,162$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays28c3,938$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.5120648.1%99 W · 107 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed San Diego Padres68c3,667$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.3215851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres77c3,647$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.666,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf916…e770backed Toronto Blue Jays41c3,527$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres50c2,988$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.033,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres71c2,926$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.584,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Toronto Blue Jays26c2,759$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4912244.3%54 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres48c2,754$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.5879442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres50c2,587$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.15,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres50c2,569$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.782,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Toronto Blue Jays51c2,384$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.7222948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres66c2,302$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.8812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays32c2,216$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.0182636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres69c2,165$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.991,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked San Diego Padres51c2,050$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.612740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed San Diego Padres50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres65c1,786$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.091,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Toronto Blue Jays18c1,734$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.554261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays27c1,709$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5385645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays42c1,643$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.172,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays49c1,612$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.8855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres52c1,514$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.781,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres50c1,427$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.51,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed San Diego Padres78c1,414$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.22751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5d…7e90backed San Diego Padres31c1,413$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Toronto Blue Jays28c1,182$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.557746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed San Diego Padres51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.479949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres50c1,170$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5851,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Toronto Blue Jays18c1,164$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3638142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Toronto Blue Jays26c1,092$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.836142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ae…5772backed Toronto Blue Jays19c1,045$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Toronto Blue Jays29c1,010$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked San Diego Padres50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c970.58$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf92…9e59backed Toronto Blue Jays33c969.7$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked San Diego Padres50c895.96$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9829046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Blue Jays49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40051545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed San Diego Padres50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40012448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b8…a60abacked Toronto Blue Jays23c780$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays25c738.58$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.151,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Toronto Blue Jays14c735.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.839837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Toronto Blue Jays50c732$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36617961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres66c716.15$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4273949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays29c692.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.093,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Toronto Blue Jays27c681.74$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2634952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres68c639.42$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5154945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres50c638.01$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.882,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Toronto Blue Jays33c611.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays22c607.35$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13321146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres55c599.04$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.35,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56bc…a1e4backed Toronto Blue Jays43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres50c578.59$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.32,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Toronto Blue Jays51c568.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ff…e13ebacked Toronto Blue Jays21c563.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1112428.2%35 W · 89 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe14…1394backed Toronto Blue Jays41c563.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Toronto Blue Jays50c528$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26494549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Toronto Blue Jays39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked San Diego Padres77c507.37$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4815751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Toronto Blue Jays16c504.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9912956.6%73 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Toronto Blue Jays22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11016253.1%86 W · 76 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…7449backed San Diego Padres28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360966.7%6 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+178.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc980…b7d3backed San Diego Padres28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+167.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcae8…63e6backed San Diego Padres28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601369.2%9 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.48per pick22cpaid+242.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Toronto Blue Jays26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304544.4%20 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Toronto Blue Jays18c499.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked San Diego Padres71c474.96$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.721,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed San Diego Padres78c474.36$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.365154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0094…c496backed Toronto Blue Jays16c450.55$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Blue Jays24c446.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0252955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.