MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28590a136885cb7031f236ddd16bfc84f5998d06220cc9e2890a571ec3618652
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Toronto Blue Jays, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $774,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $793,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $774,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 232,326$123,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,042.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 223,566$102,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,840.45 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 88,847$44,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,423.49 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 47,454$24,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,252.59 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.96 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 37,762$21,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,471.06 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 22,950$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 19,895$13,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,687.95 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 18,341$11,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,937.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 17,312$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 17,252$10,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,074.09 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 12,500$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 11,162$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 9,993$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 9,003$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 8,217$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 6,146$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 5,241$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.5 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 5,149$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.32 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 4,862$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,261$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.08 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 4,162$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 3,938$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.51 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 3,667$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.32 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 3,647$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 3,527$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,988$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.03 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 2,926$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.58 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 2,759$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.49 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 2,754$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.58 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,587$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.1 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,569$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.78 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,384$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.72 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 2,302$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 2,216$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.01 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 2,165$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.99 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,050$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 1,786$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 1,734$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.55 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 1,709$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.53 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,643$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.17 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,612$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.88 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,514$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.78 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,427$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.5 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 1,414$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…7e90backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 1,413$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 1,182$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 1,164$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 1,092$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.83 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ae…5772backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,045$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 1,010$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 970.58$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…9e59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 969.7$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 895.96$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.98 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…a60abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 780$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 738.58$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 735.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 732$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 716.15$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 692.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 681.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 639.42$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 638.01$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.88 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 611.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 607.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 599.04$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 578.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 568.63$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 563.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…1394backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 563.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 507.37$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 504.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…7449backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…b7d3backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 22cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 474.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 474.36$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 450.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 446.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 15.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 17.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.