MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb56f7cb88e781c8f4cd11e44f537ea622d34709868b4f7a631e35ed884a9926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Toronto Blue Jays, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 40,360$21,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,270.64 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 34,307$17,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,134.36 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 33,143$12,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,594.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 18,926$10,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,316.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 8,807$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.66 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 8,629$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 5,995$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.16 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 4,207$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.7 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 2,000$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.52 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,653$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,368$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 877$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 611.02$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 551.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 390$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 351$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 70c | 323.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 288.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 267.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 246$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 200.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 180.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 173.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 140$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 119.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 118.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 114.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 114.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 111.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 107.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 101.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 94.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 87.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 86.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 79.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 78.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 78.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 75.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 68.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 68.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 62.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 55.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 49.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 48.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 45.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 45.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…e53dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…351ebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 40.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 27.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 25.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…2d0bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 15.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 17.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.