TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah Tech Trailblazersof Utah Tech Trailblazers, Tarleton State Texans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers36c1,389$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.595,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Tarleton State Texans55c1,318$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.7293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans63c808.71$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.723,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tarleton State Texans54c502.82$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Utah Tech Trailblazers44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tarleton State Texans57c449.27$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.062,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Utah Tech Trailblazers46c363.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3424737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Utah Tech Trailblazers43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Tarleton State Texans57c321.68$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.751,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Tarleton State Texans55c319.16$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers49c260.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.271,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah Tech Trailblazers36c218.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.693,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tarleton State Texans55c213$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.071,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1131,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers44c193.89$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers36c153.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8170349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah Tech Trailblazers22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers24c140.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.991,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Tarleton State Texans56c138$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.281,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers42c119.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.044,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah Tech Trailblazers59c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.641,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tarleton State Texans51c108.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.751,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans49c101.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Tarleton State Texans77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Utah Tech Trailblazers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Tech Trailblazers41c92.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Utah Tech Trailblazers44c86.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3621937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Tarleton State Texans45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Tech Trailblazers26c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Utah Tech Trailblazers46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.88646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Utah Tech Trailblazers44c60.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Tarleton State Texans55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Utah Tech Trailblazers45c57.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8218557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…31ecbacked Tarleton State Texans77c51.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd2…a90dbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers50c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tarleton State Texans52c46.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2693941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tarleton State Texans54c46.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc0…ad7dbacked Tarleton State Texans50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Utah Tech Trailblazers31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Tarleton State Texans57c39.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa6…ee30backed Tarleton State Texans48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3393…e6b3backed Utah Tech Trailblazers52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tarleton State Texans55c36.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.944,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe1…f730backed Utah Tech Trailblazers34c34.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Tarleton State Texans57c30.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed Utah Tech Trailblazers46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.043743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Utah Tech Trailblazers46c23.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9416140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Tarleton State Texans53c22.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers46c21.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.872842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.