TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fe1…f730

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-14.5)backed McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.5%+$50.24
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38.82
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+109.3%+$19.29
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+139.1%+$71.55
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.7%+$17.51
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+198.2%+$22.96
Maine Black Bears vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82%+$38.27
Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.18
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Valparaiso Beacons vs. UIC Flamesbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$27.09
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+132.1%+$86.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+93.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+286.6%+$42.96
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$196.11
UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FOKUS vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Omegabacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Valorant: FOKUS vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$60.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
Magic vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+52%+$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.