South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38bb8ef2181b50a1c2e3d284c2f082fa875902c88b3298695cb6d8ff0373a110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 45c | 15,163$6,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,368.32 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,499$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 1,350$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 1,255$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.95 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 35c | 1,075$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.63 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.31 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 999.96$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 40c | 960.11$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 938.46$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.07 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 815.98$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 72c | 500$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 63c | 500$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 51c | 293.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 36c | 243$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 200.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 192.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 154.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 45c | 111.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 54c | 111.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…ac00backed Over | 64c | 95.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 54c | 92.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 89.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 30c | 84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed Under | 49c | 71.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 80c | 68.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 54c | 55.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 38.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…8249backed Under | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 51c | 37.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 43c | 32.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 23.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…6b54backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5e…1c98backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.