South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaea497e96606323c486e112fd4f23989aa7c42ba2541b412d919f8e1f75cfcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 3,748$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.74 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 551.92$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 47c | 510.55$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 47c | 500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 60c | 496.97$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.18 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 297$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 141.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 67.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Banfield vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.