North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c9403dafb970ad52314fd9eadc6234878e8a6845c0e682dc7a60e1af56fd49

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: South Dakota State Jackrabbitsof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,207 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	46c	4,401$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,368.02	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	53c	2,862$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.34	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75c	2,826$2,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.64	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	40c	2,419$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.25	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	24c	2,222$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.28	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	62c	1,972$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.53	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	26c	1,828$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.49	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	71c	1,785$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.1	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	47c	1,546$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.92	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	47c	1,148$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.74	1,074	43.3%465 W · 609 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	51c	1,085$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.93	932	47.3%441 W · 491 L	-22.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	51c	1,016$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.31	1,003	55.3%555 W · 448 L	+46.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	74c	923$681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.04	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	51c	851$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.46	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	48c	683.95$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.65	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	29c	616$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.64	1,155	50.4%582 W · 573 L	-34.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75c	564.65$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.15	621	40.4%251 W · 370 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	61c	550$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	75c	531.74$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.93	746	49.2%367 W · 379 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	29c	500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	106	22.6%24 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	57c	439.85$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.29	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	27c	399.99$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107	555	32.8%182 W · 373 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	48c	323.05$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.49	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	51c	303.79$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.31	870	47.2%411 W · 459 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	54c	302.33$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.24	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	30c	299.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	46c	284.25$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.51	176	27.8%49 W · 127 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	47c	277.18$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.88	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	76c	262.37$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.97	347	46.1%160 W · 187 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	51c	237$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.98	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	43c	232.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	703	49.6%349 W · 354 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	72c	208.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	934	47.9%447 W · 487 L	-19.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	1,317	33.6%443 W · 874 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	144	51.4%74 W · 70 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	74c	197.25$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.29	922	46%424 W · 498 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	27c	178.57$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	70c	163$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.9	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe1…f730backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	43c	151.14$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.01	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+3.0wins	+0.27per pick	45cpaid	+50%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	24c	139$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	33c	131.61$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.97	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	56c	129.89$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.64	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	60c	128$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	848	54.5%462 W · 386 L	+32.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	49c	122.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	54c	116.25$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	37c	100.06$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.99	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+6.5wins	+0.26per pick	34cpaid	+71.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3543…bf81backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	54c	70.72$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.11	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	70c	59.82$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.95	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	32c	58.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	50c	54.64$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5fc…28abbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	53c	52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x637a…a27cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	68c	45.4$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	814	53.1%432 W · 382 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	50c	41.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.97	153	56.2%86 W · 67 L	+14.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	48c	41.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	98	49%48 W · 50 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	40c	40.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.85	185	57.8%107 W · 78 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	61c	38.59$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	270	55.6%150 W · 120 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks	45c	37.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	136	50.7%69 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	77c	35.49$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	73c	31$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.43	815	28.8%235 W · 580 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks	64c	27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	56c	24.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits	77c	21.74$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	103	47.6%49 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34bb…dcf8backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	74c	20.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	71c	19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.51	990	45.6%451 W · 539 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits	70c	15.71$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.71	135	65.9%89 W · 46 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsthis page
Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-6.5)South Dakota State Jackrabbits won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event