Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe893147e1d3026a5e8411b5c09a09e0800e095fd8549b29e46e56049229c71c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof West Virginia Mountaineers, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 56c | 2,200$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 13c | 2,144$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 1,663$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.25 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 55c | 1,424$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TCU Horned Frogs | 64c | 1,243$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 35c | 1,061$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed TCU Horned Frogs | 73c | 717.72$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 717.11$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 679.97$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 63c | 671$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 546.57$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 30c | 433.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed TCU Horned Frogs | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 26c | 392.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 37c | 239.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed TCU Horned Frogs | 37c | 207.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 31c | 199.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked TCU Horned Frogs | 54c | 195.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 179.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 179.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…8e68backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 140.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…1783backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 42c | 134.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 50c | 130.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed TCU Horned Frogs | 67c | 121.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 30c | 117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 41c | 98.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 63c | 94.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 48c | 79.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 69.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 64.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…6d0bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 62.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed TCU Horned Frogs | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed TCU Horned Frogs | 69c | 56.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 31c | 48.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 28c | 46.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 70c | 44.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 25c | 44.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 61c | 42.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 33c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 31c | 38.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed TCU Horned Frogs | 67c | 36.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 39c | 31.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TCU Horned Frogs | 45c | 29.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed TCU Horned Frogs | 42c | 26.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 67c | 21.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed TCU Horned Frogs | 69c | 15.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-5.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 130.5Under won
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 131.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.