Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. New Hampshire Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b09f477442bfc9790125c258411a18c624e17ff91f5d1dbdaec1814c5783ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maine Black Bearsof Maine Black Bears, New Hampshire Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 55c | 4,628$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.26 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maine Black Bears | 40c | 3,730$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maine Black Bears | 38c | 3,321$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.24 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Maine Black Bears | 47c | 1,813$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.13 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 54c | 1,325$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.99 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maine Black Bears | 76c | 983.24$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 27c | 771.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 58c | 710.53$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.46 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Maine Black Bears | 34c | 694.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.41 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maine Black Bears | 37c | 628.76$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.15 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 23c | 590.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maine Black Bears | 61c | 486.82$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 73c | 360$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 60c | 249.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maine Black Bears | 56c | 236.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Maine Black Bears | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maine Black Bears | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Maine Black Bears | 50c | 174.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Maine Black Bears | 50c | 162.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears | 49c | 121.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 59c | 115$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Maine Black Bears | 46c | 112.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maine Black Bears | 39c | 111.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maine Black Bears | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maine Black Bears | 50c | 98.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Maine Black Bears | 44c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 66c | 92.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed Maine Black Bears | 55c | 84.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Maine Black Bears | 48c | 80.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Maine Black Bears | 39c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Maine Black Bears | 29c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maine Black Bears | 39c | 51.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 41c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Maine Black Bears | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Maine Black Bears | 30c | 36.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Maine Black Bears | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 39c | 29.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Maine Black Bears | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maine Black Bears vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsthis page
- Maine Black Bears vs. New Hampshire Wildcats: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.