South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf00b11c66cc3ec7a2f6709fa70a21efe19a7e55aa1555f7d6a41f55d51e3a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 5,109$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 4,590$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.55 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 40c | 3,547$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.47 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,733$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 2,166$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.11 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 1,107$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.13 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 1,047$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.07 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 1,032$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 10c | 1,014$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 15c | 956.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 704$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 471.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.26 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed No | 6c | 382.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 7c | 375.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 19c | 313.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 24c | 299.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 244.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 244.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 231$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 55c | 194$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 62c | 160.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 35c | 126.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 28c | 115$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed No | 67c | 110.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 21c | 101.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 98.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 96.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…4303backed Yes | 72c | 95.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 93.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 90.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 16c | 78.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 29c | 69.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 26c | 66.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 62.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 19c | 59.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 35c | 48.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 78c | 43.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 80c | 42.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 31c | 40.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 65c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked No | 78c | 19.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.