South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf0457f87f97b1d80ea66e7e27151602b551d687f16265a3289357a5856b9d04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 52c | 15,075$7,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.07 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,193$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.79 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 32c | 838.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 833.85$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 612.13$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 32c | 600$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 534.51$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked Yes | 31c | 456.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 428$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 58c | 379.13$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 53c | 309.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 271.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 259.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 47c | 255.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…3fe1backed No | 69c | 235.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 231.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…944fbacked No | 69c | 221.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 71c | 217.09$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 40c | 207.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 166.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Yes | 52c | 147.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 139.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 15c | 137.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 126.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 120.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 92.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 50c | 84.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 62c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 63.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5d…05e8backed Yes | 52c | 56.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 33c | 50.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 57c | 47.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 47.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 55c | 44.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 48c | 43.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 38c | 39.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 46c | 26.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.