La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3713ce51517a81fca0de3ccff30b4c378e4577ef9a10772876cd55c9f9a3fe2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $607,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 522,461$235,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,078.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 55c | 259,099$142,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,963.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 134,361$73,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,462.25 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 55c | 125,000$68,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,250 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 46c | 58,993$26,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,916.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 14,338$7,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 56c | 10,260$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Under | 61c | 4,637$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 4,446$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 2,084$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.83 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 56c | 1,001$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.57 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 878.67$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.02 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 579.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 524.12$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Under | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 235.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 55c | 199.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 57c | 184.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 178.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 57c | 135.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 110.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…fb51backed Over | 43c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Under | 57c | 90.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…8ff4backed Under | 56c | 82.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…4747backed Over | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 56c | 77.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 44c | 57.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…651cbacked Over | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 56c | 49.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c2…63f7backed Over | 46c | 43.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 41.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Under | 57c | 36.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 56c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 56c | 30.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed Under | 75c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 56c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5this page
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.