Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso Beacons vs. UIC Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0618a6b2928fa8819a5a4b35d774b3ecbecc46e7ae866447188f8ad27d9814f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof Valparaiso Beacons, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 27c | 1,822$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.07 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UIC Flames | 59c | 1,263$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.77 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UIC Flames | 56c | 1,260$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UIC Flames | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 69c | 907.48$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UIC Flames | 55c | 555.2$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UIC Flames | 14c | 553.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UIC Flames | 35c | 539.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UIC Flames | 12c | 525$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 24c | 428$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 25c | 423.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UIC Flames | 48c | 341.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UIC Flames | 35c | 335$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UIC Flames | 67c | 270.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 63c | 246.76$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UIC Flames | 50c | 208.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UIC Flames | 13c | 203.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UIC Flames | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UIC Flames | 34c | 187.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UIC Flames | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked UIC Flames | 74c | 167.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed UIC Flames | 60c | 159$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UIC Flames | 72c | 138.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UIC Flames | 13c | 93.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed UIC Flames | 73c | 93.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UIC Flames | 71c | 83.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed Valparaiso Beacons | 63c | 73.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UIC Flames | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Valparaiso Beacons | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UIC Flames | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UIC Flames | 49c | 59.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UIC Flames | 26c | 58.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Valparaiso Beacons | 59c | 53.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Valparaiso Beacons | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UIC Flames | 72c | 40.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed UIC Flames | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 27.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…89e4backed UIC Flames | 64c | 21.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Valparaiso Beacons | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed UIC Flames | 72c | 14.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked UIC Flames | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. UIC Flamesthis page
- Spread: UIC Flames (-6.5)Valparaiso Beacons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.