Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Denver Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dbe88e2c13158a7a4ea1b622cc3b63befdf57a5ce5299179fc9cbdde7474c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Pioneersof St. Thomas (MN) Tommies, Denver Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 17,593$10,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,901.46 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Denver Pioneers | 38c | 16,853$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,448.86 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 30c | 1,875$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 74c | 1,593$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.22 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Denver Pioneers | 29c | 1,162$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 64c | 685$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 589.29$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Denver Pioneers | 38c | 508.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.01 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Denver Pioneers | 26c | 474.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.56 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 64c | 406.03$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 64c | 371.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.77 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Denver Pioneers | 42c | 369.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Denver Pioneers | 26c | 336$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Denver Pioneers | 40c | 327.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Denver Pioneers | 38c | 230.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 71c | 216.39$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 63c | 203$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Denver Pioneers | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 63c | 181.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Denver Pioneers | 35c | 169.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 76c | 163.1$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Denver Pioneers | 39c | 135.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 77c | 117$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 58c | 113.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 59c | 110.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 63c | 107.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Denver Pioneers | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Denver Pioneers | 34c | 68.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Denver Pioneers | 40c | 65.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 57c | 61.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Denver Pioneers | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Denver Pioneers | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 46c | 39.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…f730backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 60c | 30.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 63c | 26.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 58c | 25.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 66c | 24.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 53c | 19.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Denver Pioneers | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Denver Pioneersthis page
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.