TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belgiumof Belgium, United States
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$788,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$800,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Belgium7c76,120$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,461.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb0…8ee3backed Belgium12c40,594$4,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,722.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+199.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Belgium5c21,068$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,014.3971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Belgium10c16,085$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,499.972,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium17c13,241$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,000.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Belgium18c12,747$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,457.937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Belgium19c12,500$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,12521937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Belgium5c8,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4342…0f91backed United States14c7,523$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Belgium12c7,260$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,362.4314428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Belgium5c6,903$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.6936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Belgium30c5,555$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.4826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Belgium5c5,333$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.021226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f47…d66ebacked United States71c5,237$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7004566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Belgium6c5,200$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,88860511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed United States72c4,869$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.381,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Belgium11c4,545$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.4525019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Belgium5c4,496$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.1372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium22c4,334$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.132,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Belgium4c4,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9515846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked United States71c3,877$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.87865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed United States71c3,429$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.9826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Belgium27c3,376$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.968746%40 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Belgium29c3,333$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.6625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed United States3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…4018backed Belgium6c3,190$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.299114.3%13 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Belgium5c3,158$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.11,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed United States70c2,854$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99812047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked United States66c2,854$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Belgium5c2,791$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.091,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Belgium7c2,565$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.452,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Belgium11c2,500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.9912227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Belgium12c2,133$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Belgium5c2,051$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.622,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed United States79c2,043$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.6131545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed United States78c2,016$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.0924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Belgium5c2,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90018550.3%93 W · 92 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3b0…d5d8backed Belgium31c1,935$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.481827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Belgium73c1,895$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.584,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Belgium18c1,803$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.3211020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Belgium20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…09c5backed United States21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151060%6 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+149.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Belgium32c1,400$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.2533641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abb…828cbacked Belgium12c1,394$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.351030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Belgium14c1,370$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.711,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed United States76c1,250$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9514961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked United States74c1,176$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2417569.1%121 W · 54 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked United States73c1,167$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.7630039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked United States78c1,106$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.773847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked United States26c1,081$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Belgium5c1,024$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Belgium5c1,020$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9699219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Belgium12c1,009$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.411,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Belgium20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Belgium6c1,000$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed United States73c937.13$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.361,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Belgium12c900$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7620031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Belgium30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606939.1%27 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Belgium9c764.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.7822633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Belgium32c759$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.1224247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Belgium6c750$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7055534.5%19 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Belgium5c723.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.861,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked United States70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed United States18c711.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Belgium6c704$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7617919%34 W · 145 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked United States69c680$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.214250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Belgium18c666.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.6732733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed United States71c665.9$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.793,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Belgium4c642.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.381,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Belgium31c612.9$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.916342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Belgium5c600$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5705824.1%14 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Belgium16c599.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.996030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1700…3760backed Belgium12c597.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.68633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+71.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked United States37c587.83$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.41,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Belgium5c584.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.891,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…3d65backed Belgium7c571.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.431729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Belgium5c563.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6316449.4%81 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Belgium38c529.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.0213750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Belgium21c506.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1717659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Belgium5c500$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4757832.1%25 W · 53 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa99e…b1a7backed Belgium20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Belgium3c473.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.961375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Belgium5c447.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked United States77c434.15$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ce…dd2bbacked Belgium30c430$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2994334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Belgium28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5710743%46 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Belgium5c425.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.893,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Belgium6c416.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6718028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed United States74c405.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.392,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Belgium25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…eaa7backed United States80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Belgium13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6222436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Belgium29c337.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7811717.1%20 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13b…87bdbacked Belgium6c333.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.333534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329f…81b4backed Belgium6c333.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.338043.8%35 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Belgium6c333$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked United States63c324.4$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.962,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Belgium13c321.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5515341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Belgium13c308.69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0345536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked United States72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.