Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa77e3ff60b877f2ed42ad0f579a906d26a9f1036f51780ff23d3230e7f43200
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, United States
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $800,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Belgium | 7c | 76,120$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,461.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb0…8ee3backed Belgium | 12c | 40,594$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,722.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +199.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Belgium | 5c | 21,068$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,014.39 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Belgium | 10c | 16,085$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,499.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Belgium | 17c | 13,241$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000.99 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Belgium | 18c | 12,747$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,457.9 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Belgium | 19c | 12,500$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,125 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Belgium | 5c | 8,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…0f91backed United States | 14c | 7,523$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Belgium | 12c | 7,260$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.43 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Belgium | 5c | 6,903$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,557.69 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Belgium | 30c | 5,555$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888.48 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Belgium | 5c | 5,333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.02 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked United States | 71c | 5,237$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Belgium | 6c | 5,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed United States | 72c | 4,869$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.38 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Belgium | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.45 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Belgium | 5c | 4,496$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.13 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belgium | 22c | 4,334$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.13 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Belgium | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.95 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked United States | 71c | 3,877$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.8 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed United States | 71c | 3,429$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.98 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Belgium | 27c | 3,376$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.96 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Belgium | 29c | 3,333$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.66 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed United States | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Belgium | 6c | 3,190$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.29 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Belgium | 5c | 3,158$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.1 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed United States | 70c | 2,854$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked United States | 66c | 2,854$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Belgium | 5c | 2,791$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.09 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Belgium | 7c | 2,565$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.45 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Belgium | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.99 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Belgium | 12c | 2,133$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.06 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Belgium | 5c | 2,051$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.62 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed United States | 79c | 2,043$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.61 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed United States | 78c | 2,016$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.09 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Belgium | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…d5d8backed Belgium | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Belgium | 73c | 1,895$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…01e1backed Belgium | 18c | 1,803$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.32 | 110 | 20%22 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Belgium | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…09c5backed United States | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Belgium | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.25 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…828cbacked Belgium | 12c | 1,394$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Belgium | 14c | 1,370$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.71 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed United States | 76c | 1,250$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked United States | 74c | 1,176$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.24 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked United States | 73c | 1,167$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.76 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked United States | 78c | 1,106$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked United States | 26c | 1,081$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Belgium | 5c | 1,024$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Belgium | 5c | 1,020$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Belgium | 12c | 1,009$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.41 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Belgium | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Belgium | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed United States | 73c | 937.13$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.36 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Belgium | 12c | 900$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.76 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Belgium | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed Belgium | 9c | 764.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.78 | 226 | 33.6%76 W · 150 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Belgium | 32c | 759$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.12 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Belgium | 6c | 750$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Belgium | 5c | 723.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.86 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked United States | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed United States | 18c | 711.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Belgium | 6c | 704$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.76 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked United States | 69c | 680$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Belgium | 18c | 666.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.67 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed United States | 71c | 665.9$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Belgium | 4c | 642.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.38 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Belgium | 31c | 612.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…298dbacked Belgium | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a2cebacked Belgium | 16c | 599.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…3760backed Belgium | 12c | 597.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked United States | 37c | 587.83$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.4 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Belgium | 5c | 584.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.89 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…3d65backed Belgium | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Belgium | 5c | 563.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.63 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…47c5backed Belgium | 38c | 529.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.02 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed Belgium | 21c | 506.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.17 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…ef55backed Belgium | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…b1a7backed Belgium | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Belgium | 3c | 473.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.96 | 137 | 5.1%7 W · 130 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Belgium | 5c | 447.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.59 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked United States | 77c | 434.15$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…dd2bbacked Belgium | 30c | 430$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Belgium | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Belgium | 5c | 425.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.89 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Belgium | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.67 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed United States | 74c | 405.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Belgium | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…eaa7backed United States | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Belgium | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Belgium | 29c | 337.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.78 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…87bdbacked Belgium | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…81b4backed Belgium | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Belgium | 6c | 333$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked United States | 63c | 324.4$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked Belgium | 13c | 321.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.55 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Belgium | 13c | 308.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked United States | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.