F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd497f3ddd7e5ae63169907295df889c45acd455e6bada816852c205fb03d0cf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 4c | 18,256$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 8c | 12,736$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,790$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 6,142$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.83 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,407$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,351$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd2…059fbacked Yes | 14c | 4,053$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…3614backed Yes | 2c | 3,885$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…f14fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,758$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 14c | 2,875$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…3134backed Yes | 2c | 2,102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…aec8backed Yes | 5c | 2,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 4c | 1,801$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,394$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…d124backed Yes | 1c | 1,346$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Yes | 17c | 1,252$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…b550backed Yes | 1c | 1,120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,081$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 1,020$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…1987backed Yes | 1c | 987.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 5c | 799.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 746.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 8c | 716.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 3c | 682$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…9cb1backed Yes | 2c | 673.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…40abbacked Yes | 8c | 661.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…b383backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 6c | 501.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 8c | 492.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 462.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 384.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 332.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…3cc0backed Yes | 10c | 286.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…f47bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…fc74backed Yes | 6c | 272.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 13c | 266.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 40c | 247.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 14c | 223.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…d1debacked Yes | 14c | 200.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…0904backed Yes | 16c | 163.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…80f1backed Yes | 16c | 163.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…56f8backed Yes | 13c | 154.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +240.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…a297backed Yes | 15c | 105.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…ee3bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.