MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d25bc37f9bd4b0da3bffbee2a3ba5b9fe41a4999f59fb162d4f16582124187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof New York Mets, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 44c | 43,600$19,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,356.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 37,815$19,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,529.52 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed New York Mets | 49c | 33,333$16,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,333.17 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 26,966$15,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,865.17 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 17,647$10,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,468.86 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 49c | 14,933$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.04 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 13,331$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 25c | 12,503$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked New York Mets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.82 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 48c | 9,867$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736.32 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…4879backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 9,012$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Mets | 49c | 6,903$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.23 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed New York Mets | 0c | 6,902$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 6,739$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.59 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Mets | 17c | 6,110$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.18 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…b112backed New York Mets | 28c | 5,287$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,494$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.53 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed New York Mets | 5c | 4,107$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.24 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 49c | 3,606$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.94 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,516$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.84 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,921$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.64 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 49c | 2,378$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,736$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.68 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,647$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.53 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3600backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,501$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,200$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed New York Mets | 6c | 1,089$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,026$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.66 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed New York Mets | 27c | 1,024$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 8c | 1,001$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 805.82$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.77 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 789$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.61 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 745$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 25c | 729.14$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.19 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed New York Mets | 11c | 720.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets | 2c | 702.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked New York Mets | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Mets | 48c | 523.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 509.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed New York Mets | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 495.13$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 75c | 454.53$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed New York Mets | 23c | 439.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed New York Mets | 49c | 400.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 381.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 350.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 327.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 321.46$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…da96backed New York Mets | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked New York Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 296.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 292.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 249.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 242.21$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 18c | 236.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 234.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 26c | 224.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 206$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 205.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…aea1backed New York Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New York Mets | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed New York Mets | 47c | 200.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed New York Mets | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed New York Mets | 49c | 199.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 199.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 9c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked New York Mets | 9c | 174.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed New York Mets | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 159.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New York Mets | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked New York Mets | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Mets | 49c | 140.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 128.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed New York Mets | 23c | 127.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…b675backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 117.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 245 | 44.1%108 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed New York Mets | 49c | 111.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 99.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Mets | 12c | 98.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed New York Mets | 35c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed New York Mets | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 91.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 91.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Miami Marlins | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.