Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847010796d4f4ffb0254e6b1258eb4d559f1aa7146c47439765e8b8cf4c18b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dino Prizmicof Michael Zheng, Dino Prizmic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Michael Zheng | 4c | 24,078$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Zheng | 12c | 6,033$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michael Zheng | 14c | 4,589$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Michael Zheng | 15c | 4,475$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.25 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Michael Zheng | 7c | 4,119$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.33 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michael Zheng | 14c | 2,544$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Michael Zheng | 2c | 2,517$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Michael Zheng | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…f7aabacked Michael Zheng | 4c | 2,261$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 2,125$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 2,003$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Michael Zheng | 18c | 1,995$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.14 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Michael Zheng | 15c | 1,905$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Michael Zheng | 4c | 1,665$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 1,567$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Michael Zheng | 9c | 1,368$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Michael Zheng | 2c | 1,294$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 1,167$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Michael Zheng | 4c | 1,135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Michael Zheng | 2c | 1,129$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Michael Zheng | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…72a1backed Michael Zheng | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +843.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michael Zheng | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Michael Zheng | 16c | 710$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Michael Zheng | 9c | 675$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Michael Zheng | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Michael Zheng | 17c | 497.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Michael Zheng | 13c | 487.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Michael Zheng | 17c | 477.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 465.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Michael Zheng | 6c | 438.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Michael Zheng | 3c | 431.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 429.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Michael Zheng | 7c | 416.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Michael Zheng | 3c | 397$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 378.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Michael Zheng | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Michael Zheng | 6c | 335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 330.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…5b17backed Michael Zheng | 4c | 330.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Michael Zheng | 19c | 263.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Michael Zheng | 13c | 248.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Michael Zheng | 10c | 226.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Michael Zheng | 15c | 199.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…da96backed Michael Zheng | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 150.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Michael Zheng | 18c | 148.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Dino Prizmic | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 112.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…21b7backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Michael Zheng | 12c | 106.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Michael Zheng | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Michael Zheng | 17c | 103.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Michael Zheng | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Michael Zheng | 18c | 89.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…7d68backed Michael Zheng | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Michael Zheng | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmicthis page
- Michael Zheng vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs PrizmicPrizmic won
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)Prizmic won
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-2.5) vs Zheng (+2.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.