Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9290bbe57eb8285b40cf5afd2343fd2b555858ba754b0a560bba3cd00a9d9e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,624 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 4,814$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53f9backed Over | 51c | 3,923$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…33eebacked Under | 49c | 3,906$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Over | 49c | 3,889$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 3,600$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 53c | 3,582$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.34 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 49c | 2,020$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.85 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 49c | 1,715$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.71 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 54c | 1,558$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.88 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 1,517$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 20c | 1,009$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 997.86$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 994.75$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.37 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 56c | 176.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 15c | 99.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 38c | 99.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381a…f63dbacked Under | 54c | 99.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Over | 48c | 83.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 48c | 79.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 62.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 56c | 44.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 38.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Over | 30c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 50c | 32.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 31.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 22.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 163.5this page
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville CardinalsLouisville Cardinals won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 146.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 147.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 148.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 149.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 151.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 153.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 156.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 159.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 160.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 161.5Over won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 162.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 164.5Under won
- South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-10.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-6.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)South Florida Bulls won
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-9.5)South Florida Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.