TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over59c46,797$27,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,609.942560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over58c21,181$12,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,245.95349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c6,552$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,517.851,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under41c6,400$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7766165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c5,523$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under41c4,800$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8324971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c3,974$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.5798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over28c3,479$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.144017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c3,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75068750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under41c2,800$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6526365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under41c2,400$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4165862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under41c2,368$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.125151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under41c2,217$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under42c2,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2761457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.4988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1804170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under41c1,840$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.62378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under46c1,754$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+105.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over60c1,650$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under41c1,600$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9446369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under41c1,600$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9446170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under42c1,548$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.621560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over58c1,414$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0615946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over59c1,221$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.586048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7086666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7085666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under41c1,040$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.66465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under41c1,040$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.66070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5908360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under61c974.87$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under41c959.99$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5317358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5316861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under40c861.44$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under41c640$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.65367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under41c624$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.166167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under41c624$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.165867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under43c583.61$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under41c560$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.45168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over58c532.99$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under50c503.46$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.816852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under41c480.17$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under41c448$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under41c438$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.421741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c414$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2364669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2364866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2364472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over59c399.94$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over62c393.97$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under42c368.84$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.851872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under41c355.69$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.862040%8 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over34c296.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under42c284.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc18…2fd7backed Over46c260.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under50c254.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under53c250$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.71963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1188651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.22365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c171.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c160.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.45269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under53c119.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6434239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c115.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over60c115$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c107$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c103.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2722545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over60c101$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over57c99.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.995846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under47c99.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.943458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Under76c95.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under37c94.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.557045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under55c85.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c80.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under40c64.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under42c58.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.825058%29 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under40c56.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.736456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under64c52.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8111360.2%68 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c74…14d6backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over57c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.49450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked Under41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c48.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed Under41c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under43c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under41c47.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.282576%19 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9bf…e5d8backed Under55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258523.5%20 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Under61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.