Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7cbfed8d5dbee3726fd5ff912487f8f708e13482ca14ae6258af5ef338aa5a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,903$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 59c | 645.29$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.47 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 60c | 616.67$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 59c | 408.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked No | 49c | 399.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 341.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 278$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.24 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 57c | 254.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 203.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 53c | 199.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 189.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 64c | 189.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 117.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 60c | 115.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 115.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed No | 51c | 112.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…e8e8backed No | 76c | 111.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 109.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 59c | 101.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 79c | 99.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 50c | 91.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 46c | 90.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 48c | 65.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 43c | 50.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 42c | 48.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes | 29c | 45.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 36c | 40.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 44c | 35.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 59c | 35.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 33.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 71c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 71c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked No | 58c | 18.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.