Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2089cc13385eee13d9a303293eb085a9d1de6023e465739b2e4e11bd6248d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 38c | 3,137$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.48 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,050$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,002$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.85 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 888.01$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.47 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 679.25$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 34c | 600$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 45c | 531$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.26 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 42c | 480$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 14c | 347.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 41c | 250.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 13c | 199.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 54c | 186.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 13c | 181.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 13c | 166.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 17c | 163.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 43c | 157.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 40c | 145$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 55c | 144.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 132.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 78c | 128.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 13c | 103.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 64c | 102.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Over | 33c | 92.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…dfb5backed Under | 78c | 83.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 74c | 53.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 71c | 53.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…c404backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 48.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Under | 33c | 47.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 71c | 45.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 51c | 42.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Under | 48c | 38.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 51c | 37.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 33.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Over | 47c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 55c | 22.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 72c | 15.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.