Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeacc162f9b27bfb5e024004957623e2c9fc86015192ef099aac98a9a22186dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof BoomBoys, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 8,699$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.46 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BoomBoys | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BoomBoys | 32c | 4,309$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.97 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…97dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 3,088$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked BoomBoys | 35c | 1,928$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.75 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,686$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.88 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked BoomBoys | 36c | 1,511$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.67 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BoomBoys | 35c | 1,372$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.45 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,211$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.63 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 692.3$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.16 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 663.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 619.48$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 597.9$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BoomBoys | 34c | 583.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed BoomBoys | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BoomBoys | 31c | 530.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed BoomBoys | 35c | 397.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 36c | 295.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 281.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BoomBoys | 33c | 267.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 238.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed BoomBoys | 34c | 227.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed BoomBoys | 35c | 223.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 221.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 179.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked BoomBoys | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed BoomBoys | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed BoomBoys | 32c | 165.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 158.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed BoomBoys | 34c | 147.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…2afabacked BoomBoys | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 125.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed BoomBoys | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked BoomBoys | 37c | 123.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked BoomBoys | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed BoomBoys | 39c | 103.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed BoomBoys | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BoomBoys | 33c | 99.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed BoomBoys | 37c | 90.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 89.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c02ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…fd90backed BoomBoys | 40c | 74.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…cf41backed BoomBoys | 34c | 72.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed BoomBoys | 34c | 69.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed BoomBoys | 39c | 66.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 65.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed BoomBoys | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BoomBoys | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked BoomBoys | 35c | 48.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 47.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…5b24backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 44.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed BoomBoys | 33c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed BoomBoys | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked BoomBoys | 34c | 29.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked BoomBoys | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…eeefbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…ca07backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 20.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.