MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5261cdd049afd2af36f5324bbe29d96c5fb410033fc5abde5b9d4c1fa67bba11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Cleveland Guardians, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 192,181$97,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,729.01 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…3046backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 58,820$30,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,057 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 40,532$19,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,673.38 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 34,341$20,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 31,094$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 30,000$11,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,313.71 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 30,000$14,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,330 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 28,460$14,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,728.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 27,661$9,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,373.28 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 17,842$13,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.77 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 15,698$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 15,084$7,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550.61 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 14,547$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,418.88 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 13,859$8,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 13,182$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,722.82 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 11,971$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 11,290$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.39 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 11,184$5,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,632$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 10,355$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,209.07 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 9,325$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 9,117$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 9,111$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.23 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 7,645$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 6,973$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 5,882$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,698$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.68 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,558$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 61c | 3,248$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,137$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 3,119$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.75 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,907$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.86 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,736$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,460$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,351$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.61 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,158$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.04 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 2,139$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,000$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,938$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.77 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,758$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.63 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,698$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,667$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…bec9backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 1,548$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,526$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.77 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 1,515$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.09 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,457$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.85 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,426$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.09 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,409$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.67 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,367$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.35 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,365$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.62 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 1,345$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,216$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.33 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,214$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 1,133$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,075$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 1,022$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.26 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 1,012$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.2 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 999$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.51 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 955.36$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 900$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 857.35$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.43 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 834.59$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.65 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 759$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 746.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 707.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.95 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 678.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 600.31$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.16 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 595.79$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.97 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 571.27$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 538.77$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 526$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 520.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 520$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.86 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 506$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Minnesota Twins | 64c | 489$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 379.72$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 348.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 344.7$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 320.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 308.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 274.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 273.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 269.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 265.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 261.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 74c | 257.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 256.14$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.