Tennis · resolved market
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ac5059eae025f75f9735d063b9ba867bcfe600d4dd50036786dcb329b4477d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublik/Kyrgiosof Bublik/Kyrgios, Paul/Seggerman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 75c | 1,166$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.61 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Paul/Seggerman | 49c | 723.51$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.52 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 51c | 252.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Paul/Seggerman | 36c | 230.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Paul/Seggerman | 40c | 165.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 131.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 77c | 123.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Paul/Seggerman | 44c | 113.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…8e87backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 80c | 100.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 65c | 86.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Paul/Seggerman | 55c | 74.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Paul/Seggerman | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…7d30backed Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 55.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Paul/Seggerman | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Paul/Seggerman | 50c | 37.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…a3adbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…8ceebacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 52c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…a695backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 50c | 27.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.