Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x207beb481921fcd6452fc704e980b41402e372f3c2b4620617a8ede1b3a42e22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof FlyQuest, Evil Geniuses Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FlyQuest | 29c | 562.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…7350backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 445$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FlyQuest | 56c | 421.22$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.65 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 419.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 76c | 381.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked FlyQuest | 50c | 306.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 64c | 242.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FlyQuest | 49c | 229$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed FlyQuest | 14c | 190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 167.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FlyQuest | 39c | 156.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 149.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 49c | 131.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed FlyQuest | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FlyQuest | 64c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FlyQuest | 57c | 109$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked FlyQuest | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FlyQuest | 34c | 68.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FlyQuest | 30c | 68.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FlyQuest | 27c | 65.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…7d30backed FlyQuest | 29c | 50.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FlyQuest | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FlyQuest | 23c | 47.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked FlyQuest | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed FlyQuest | 63c | 41.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed FlyQuest | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FlyQuest | 40c | 33.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 45c | 30.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed FlyQuest | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…395abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageEvil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.