Other European Leagues · resolved market

Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a72eed81ae23ee90111659660338a77b05382d665b920d0c30c160616f0abab

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $48,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	51c	10,323$5,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,278.34	133	32.3%43 W · 90 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	33c	4,951$1,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,317.53	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	79c	1,886$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.95	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-7.1wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	1,879$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.55	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over	49c	1,700$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.99	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under	75c	1,338$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.39	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-56%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under	10c	1,185$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.16	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	79c	905.37$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.25	2,012	35.5%714 W · 1,298 L	-27.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over	45c	784.35$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.39	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Under	66c	757.58$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	41c	500$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	120	54.2%65 W · 55 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	57c	397.13$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.63	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under	8c	363.82$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Under	57c	350.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	22c	294.33$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.57	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	58c	237.75$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.82	2,068	48.1%995 W · 1,073 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	54c	233.84$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.45	309	63.1%195 W · 114 L	+45.1wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under	15c	213.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	51c	207.3$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.72	216	58.8%127 W · 89 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	63c	196.8$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.4	338	58.6%198 W · 140 L	+30.9wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	23c	181.9$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.17	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	79c	174.45$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.84	460	44.3%204 W · 256 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	41c	173.61$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.43	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	42c	170.66$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.34	1,434	37.7%540 W · 894 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8e…e65fbacked Over	42c	151.38$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef87…e853backed Under	64c	148.43$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	58c	129.6$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.46	347	60.8%211 W · 136 L	+33.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	57c	124.65$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.05	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Over	69c	116.38$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.08	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	44c	112.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.72	559	54.9%307 W · 252 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Under	15c	101.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under	75c	99.25$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	155	68.4%106 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	77c	98.78$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.12	197	29.9%59 W · 138 L	-21.8wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Under	60c	98.03$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc54…26edbacked Under	59c	91.78$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.15	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under	60c	91.65$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	143	39.2%56 W · 87 L	-10.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over	37c	86.49$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.49	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	59c	85.92$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.69	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-8.1wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over	21c	84.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.36	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.28per pick	26cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Over	26c	81.9$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.81	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under	58c	78.68$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over	54c	74.64$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.64	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	66c	60$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…667bbacked Over	41c	60$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	39c	58.76$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.79	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over	41c	56.24$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.91	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under	78c	51.54$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	62cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	66c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	478	42.9%205 W · 273 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	220	62.3%137 W · 83 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over	54c	44.98$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under	60c	43.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	58c	42.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	44c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	320	51.9%166 W · 154 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb651…b4f7backed Over	62c	33.22$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.67	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-6.6wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	43c	29.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Over	51c	29.01$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under	43c	28.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+102.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	59c	28.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.7	1,282	50.2%644 W · 638 L	-25.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ab…7d30backed Over	50c	26.26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+101.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc7…f911backed Over	76c	25.91$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.22	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over	63c	25.42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-9.8wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under	57c	23.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	55c	22.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	107	70.1%75 W · 32 L	+19.6wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5this page
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 1.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: Aalesunds FK O/U 2.5Under won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 0.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5Over won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Molde FK won
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Molde FK won
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event