TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,494 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa496…0f5abacked Over79c1,272$1,000 inWon+$272.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under21c782.47$164 inLost-$164.321,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c676.39$160 inLost-$159.77,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Over79c596.03$470 inWon+$126.191070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c552.5$122 inLost-$121.552,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under21c497.97$105 inLost-$104.571,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over78c470$367 inWon+$103.42250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over73c273.28$200 inWon+$73.282958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under22c163$37 inLost-$36.552,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon+$14.9422062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c34.18$27 inWon+$7.521,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cd…2c85backed Over78c30.77$24 inWon+$6.772138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.