TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Aalesunds FK vs. Molde FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,395$1,390 inLost-$1,389.827,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c1,994$1,199 inLost-$1,199.385,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over42c1,890$794 inWon+$1,096.187138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…6039backed Over36c1,307$465 inWon+$842.221435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over47c1,287$599 inWon+$688.114847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c932.3$522 inLost-$522.092,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Over44c681.82$300 inWon+$381.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over44c244.41$108 inWon+$136.878544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c121.54$52 inWon+$69.171,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over44c107.73$47 inWon+$60.333754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c69.72$40 inLost-$39.742,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under58c52.12$30 inLost-$30.2355954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Under58c45$26 inLost-$26.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under58c45$26 inLost-$25.977537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c24.99$11 inWon+$14.1989258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c20$11 inLost-$11.42,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.