WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee72330b0bb36f02f3a42346bcb0e4abf6e5bcfb6bd5a21fb2fb6ca6e044b02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Seattle Storm, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 9,719$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.63 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 9,690$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Seattle Storm | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 61c | 5,865$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.34 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Seattle Storm | 2c | 5,763$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 58c | 5,601$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.26 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 5,522$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.93 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 60c | 5,440$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 61c | 2,974$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.91 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 57c | 2,772$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.6 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 2,446$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.3 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 2,401$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.55 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 2,311$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.22 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Seattle Storm | 21c | 2,220$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked PortlandFire | 61c | 2,002$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.83 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 1,716$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 1,651$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.46 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed PortlandFire | 27c | 1,476$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.83 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 1,425$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.53 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Seattle Storm | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 70c | 1,244$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.16 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed PortlandFire | 47c | 1,053$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Seattle Storm | 23c | 1,034$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.37 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed PortlandFire | 58c | 1,022$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.05 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PortlandFire | 78c | 948.63$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 937.92$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 835.39$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 57c | 835.37$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.9 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…1f22backed PortlandFire | 45c | 821.64$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Seattle Storm | 59c | 764.06$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 742.42$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 685.14$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Seattle Storm | 61c | 685$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.68 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0791…385bbacked PortlandFire | 59c | 649.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked PortlandFire | 62c | 609.93$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.45 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 595.45$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed PortlandFire | 59c | 568.54$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 557.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire | 54c | 531$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 525.13$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 38c | 469.36$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.37 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 364.19$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…778fbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 332.65$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 326.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…63aebacked Seattle Storm | 31c | 309.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 60c | 300.54$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed PortlandFire | 17c | 298$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 288.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 284.4$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed PortlandFire | 70c | 283.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 280$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 276.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 60c | 238.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 237.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 230.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm | 75c | 226.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Seattle Storm | 67c | 225.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed PortlandFire | 63c | 223$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Storm | 65c | 217.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed PortlandFire | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked PortlandFire | 58c | 199.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 188.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Seattle Storm | 41c | 181.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Seattle Storm | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed PortlandFire | 30c | 175.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed PortlandFire | 59c | 168.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed PortlandFire | 44c | 167.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 26c | 163.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked PortlandFire | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 155.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Seattle Storm | 35c | 150.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PortlandFire | 41c | 148.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Seattle Storm | 26c | 146.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 142.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed PortlandFire | 46c | 138.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed PortlandFire | 35c | 128.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Seattle Storm | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 124.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Seattle Storm | 36c | 122.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 122.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed PortlandFire | 66c | 122$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Seattle Storm | 65c | 108.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 108.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Seattle Storm | 42c | 103.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked PortlandFire | 60c | 100.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Seattle Storm | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed PortlandFire | 74c | 99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…c958backed Seattle Storm | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked PortlandFire | 35c | 94.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed PortlandFire | 54c | 92.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 91.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed PortlandFire | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFirethis page
- Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-4.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.